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Varlamov Vs. Fleury – Crunching the Numbers – Pittsburgh Penguins – PenguinPoop Blog

Varlamov Vs. Fleury – Crunching the Numbers

This series has been everything and more than it was hyped up to be.  As a hockey fan, watching these games makes you see why you love the sport.  As a Penguin fan with Game 7 approaching, it has been nerve-wracking to say the least.  The roller coaster ride from game to game, shift to shift, and overtime shot to overtime shot has been overwhelming at times.  When the final outcome of the series is determined Wednesday night, it is hard to believe that the winner will only be halfway to the Stanley Cup. 

goalies

So what will the final outcome be?  Before I present some statistics to ponder, I want everyone to know that I am a big Marc Andre Fleury fan.  I believe that a Stanley Cup ring is in his future with the Penguins.  In analyzing the goalies’ numbers in this series, it is easy to see that Varlamov’s play has made this a 7-game series.  In the 18 regulation periods, the Penguins have outshot the Capitals in 14 of them.  Two were even, and the two times that the Capitals outshot the Penguins were in Game 4, period 2 by a count of 5-4 and in Game 5, period 1 by a count of 12-11.  With those kinds of numbers, you would have thought that the Penguins would have won this by now.  Varlamov has made more saves than Fleury in every game.  In fact, in Game 6, he made twice as many.  

Here are some of the totals — Varlamov faced 226 shots, stopping 205 of them giving him a .907 save percentage.  Fleury faced 159 shots, stopping 139 of them giving him an .874 save percentage.  If these save percentages were reversed, based on the shots taken in the series, the Penguins would have 29 goals and the Capitals would have 16.  We need Fleury to be equal to Varlamov in Game 7.  If he is, and the Penguins win the shot battle one more time, the Conference Finals are next. 

That’s the view from E-11. 

Note:  It sure would be nice to see Kunitz score a goal!

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3 Comments

  1. Ron Malore's Gravatar Ron Malore
    May 13, 2009 at 12:37 pm | Permalink

    It’s easy to pick out someone—– so why not Fleury. When, in fact, these are two of the three young, most offensively skilled teams in the NHL right now. I put the Blackhawks in that group. Highly skilled offensive players that put a ton more pressure on goalies and defensemen. Just ask Luongo, Kiprosoff, Biron, and Lundqvist what it’s like.
    Whatever, we have two offensively minded coaches who push them to shoot the puck and don’t look back. I agree with Penguin871 who seems to get it—– It’s all about the WIN and it doesn’t matter what path we take to get there. Win as a team lose as a team. I don’t care whether Gonchar plays, or not. Whether Kunitz finally scores, or not. All I care about is the WIN. I dont care if it’s 11-10 in 4 OT’s!

    Let’s go Pens!
    I haven’t been this fired up for a game in a long time.

  2. PENZRGR8's Gravatar PENZRGR8
    May 13, 2009 at 12:21 pm | Permalink

    Fleury needs to step up his game tonight. Not that he has been bad, just shaky in some games. We need him to stand on his head. I think part of it has to do with less shots on him.

  3. Penguin871's Gravatar Penguin871
    May 13, 2009 at 11:42 am | Permalink

    If they reverse that save percentage for one night I’d be happy. I don’t care how he does it, but what Fluery needs tonight is the only important stat, the big W.


            

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